By Alyssa Glenny,
AccuWeather Meteorologist
Published Oct 7, 2023 8:37 AM PDT
Updated Oct 8, 2023 4:34 PM PDT
Lidia is expected to follow a general northeastward track from Monday to Wednesday as it takes a straight route for the west coast of Mexico. Forecasters say that landfall is expected to occur Tuesday evening, PDT, between the Jalisco and Sinaloa states of Mexico.
Lidia is forecast to ramp up to a Category 1 hurricane (maximum sustained winds of 74-95 mph, or 119-152 km/h) on Monday and hold onto that intensity through Tuesday, when it is expected to make landfall in western Mexico.
Gusty winds will arrive across parts of west-central Mexico beginning Tuesday night. Peak wind gusts can range from 80-100 mph (130-160 km/h) across the states of Durango, Sinaloa, Nayarit, Zacatecas and Jalisco with the AccuWeather Local StormMax™ of 100 mph (160 km/h).
Winds from Lidia are expected to persist across the region through Thursday evening, PDT, and can be strong enough to cause minor tree damage and localized power outages.
As Lidia approaches western Mexico, a wide swath of 1-2 inches (25-50 mm) of rain can spread across a similar region as the wind field and cover the states of Durango, Sinaloa, Nayarit, Zacatecas and Jalisco.
Rainfall totals can range from 2-4 inches (50-100 mm) across upslope regions from Culiacán to Puerto Vallarta, Mexico, with concentrated totals of 4-8 inches (100-200 mm) possible around the core of the storm near the Mexican state of Nayarit. The AccuWeather Local StormMax™ across west-central Mexico is set at 16 inches (400 mm) for Lidia.
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